MK Dons
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 29, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadium mk

MK Dons
4 - 1
Chelsea U21s

Dennis (9'), Leko (56'), Dean (70', 79')
Scholtz (14'), Devoy (60'), Hunter (66'), Leko (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Morgan (32')
McNeilly (82'), Boniface (90+4')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between MK Dons and Chelsea Under-21s.

The Match

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup clash with AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 2-1 Doncaster
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two

Chelsea Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Norwich U21s 3-2 Chelsea U21s
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawChelsea Under-21s
44.23% (1.154 1.15)23.27% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)32.5% (-1.12 -1.12)
Both teams to score 63.05% (-0.329 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.67% (-0.25 -0.25)38.33% (0.255 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.39% (-0.266 -0.27)60.61% (0.272 0.27)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.26% (0.373 0.37)17.74% (-0.367 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.58% (0.632 0.63)48.42% (-0.628 -0.63)
Chelsea Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.65% (-0.744 -0.74)23.35% (0.749 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.69% (-1.099 -1.1)57.31% (1.104 1.1)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 44.23%
    Chelsea Under-21s 32.5%
    Draw 23.27%
MK DonsDrawChelsea Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.123 0.12)
1-0 @ 7.16% (0.171 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.19% (0.219 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.132 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.57% (0.167 0.17)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 44.23%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.14% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-1 @ 6.03% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.38% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 32.5%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Chelsea U21s

MK Dons
16.7%
Draw
5.6%
Chelsea Under-21s
77.8%
18
Head to Head
Aug 3, 2015 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
MK Dons
1-2
Chelsea U21s
Hitchcock (29')
Ake (36'), Abraham (55')
> Match Report