Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 48.83%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.04%) and 2-0 (5.08%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.