Premier League 2 - Div 1
Apr 16, 2023 at 12pm UK
Ewen Fields

Man City U21s
3 - 1
Chelsea U21s

Bobb (32'), Breckin (58'), Borges (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Castledine (86')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Manchester City Under-21s and Chelsea Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Brighton U21s 3-2 Man City U21s
Sunday, April 9 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Chelsea Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Chelsea U21s 1-2 Palace U21s
Monday, April 3 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.92%) and 1-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Manchester City Under-21sDrawChelsea Under-21s
48.22% (0.11900000000001 0.12)21.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.17% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 68.03% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.7% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)31.29% (0.09 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.26% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)52.73% (0.106 0.11)
Manchester City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.39% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)13.61% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.24% (0.013000000000005 0.01)40.75% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Chelsea Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.75% (-0.107 -0.11)21.25% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.83% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)54.16% (0.173 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Under-21s 48.22%
    Chelsea Under-21s 30.17%
    Draw 21.61%
Manchester City Under-21sDrawChelsea Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.92% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.77% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.75% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.82% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.95% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.29% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.01 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 48.22%
1-1 @ 8.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.89% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.61%
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 30.17%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2022 7pm
Chelsea U21s
2-2
Man City U21s
Vale (35'), Hall (82')
Rankine (66'), Hall (90+1')
Breckin (45+1'), Bobb (50')
Agyemang (89')