Premier League 2 - Div 1
Feb 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
Griffin Park

Chelsea U21s
1 - 0
Arsenal U21s

Castledine (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Chelsea Under-21s and Arsenal Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Liverpool U21s 0-0 Chelsea U21s
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Arsenal Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Arsenal U21s 1-1 West Ham U21s
Friday, February 17 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.62%) and 1-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Chelsea Under-21sDrawArsenal Under-21s
45.71% (0.34 0.34)21.78% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)32.5% (-0.274 -0.27)
Both teams to score 68.73% (0.12599999999999 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.09% (0.21199999999999 0.21)30.91% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.71% (0.251 0.25)52.28% (-0.252 -0.25)
Chelsea Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.7% (0.19800000000001 0.2)14.3% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.89% (0.38500000000001 0.39)42.1% (-0.386 -0.39)
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.19% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)19.8% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.12% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)51.87% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Under-21s 45.71%
    Arsenal Under-21s 32.5%
    Draw 21.78%
Chelsea Under-21sDrawArsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.62% (0.047 0.05)
1-0 @ 5.51% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.36% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.55% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.47% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.74% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.21% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.028 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.2% (0.015 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 45.71%
1-1 @ 8.92% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 7.02%
0-0 @ 2.83% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.46% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 21.78%
1-2 @ 7.22% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.58% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.71% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-4 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 32.5%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 2pm
Arsenal U21s
4-1
Chelsea U21s
Olayinka (29'), Edwards (34'), Sagoe Jr (79'), Butler-Oyedeji (90+1')
Azeez (90+2')
Webster (43')
Sturge (55'), Simons (77'), Brooking (90+2')
Jan 11, 2022 7pm
Third Round
Arsenal U21s
4-1
Chelsea U21s
Olayinka (10'), Biereth (42'), Hutchinson (61'), Flores (67')
Ogungbo (45')
Wareham (38')
Baker (65'), Nunn (84')
Mbuyamba (35')
rhs 2.0


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