Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-21s win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 37.29% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.07%) and 3-1 (5%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.