Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
Manchester City Under-21s	Draw	Arsenal Under-21s
31.05% ( -0.06)	23.34% ( 0.05)	45.61% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 62.04% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.64% (

-0.27)

39.35% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.31% (

-0.28)

61.69% (

0.28)

Manchester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.29% (

-0.17)

24.7% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.75% (

-0.23)

59.24% (

0.24)

Arsenal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.4% (

-0.1)

17.6% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.82% (

-0.17)

48.17% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Manchester City Under-21s 31.05%

Arsenal Under-21s 45.61%

Draw 23.34%

Manchester City Under-21s	Draw	Arsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.38% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.05%	1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.34%	1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.65% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.92% Total : 45.61%