Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.