Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 53.35%. A win for Blackburn Rovers Under-21s had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.56%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.