Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 70.69%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 12.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Leicester City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.