Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 59.45%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 20.98% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.18%) and 1-3 (7.17%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.