Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Liverpool Under-21s had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.83%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest Liverpool Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Manchester City Under-21s	Draw	Liverpool Under-21s
44.24% ( -0.48)	22.22% ( 0.02)	33.53% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 67.44% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.24% (

0.04)

32.75% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.56% (

0.05)

54.44% (

-0.05)

Manchester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.46% (

-0.16)

15.53% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.54% (

-0.3)

44.46% (

0.3)

Liverpool Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.85% (

0.25)

20.15% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.56% (

0.41)

52.43% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Manchester City Under-21s 44.24%

Liverpool Under-21s 33.53%

Draw 22.22%

Manchester City Under-21s	Draw	Liverpool Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.08% 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.1% Total : 44.24%	1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.22%	1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.53%