Premier League 2 - Div 1
Mar 6, 2023 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Joe Hugill 59' goal
  • goal Mason Burstow 32'
  • goal Leo Castledine 82'
  • goal Malik Mothersille 90'+4'

Manchester United Under-21s vs Chelsea Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Feb 24, 2023 7.00pm
Wolves U21s 2 - 2 Man Utd U21s
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Joe Hugill

Chelsea Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Feb 27, 2023 7.00pm
Chelsea U21s 1 - 0 Arsenal U21s
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Mason Burstow

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 59.89%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 21.34% and a draw had a probability of 18.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.24%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.

Result

Manchester United Under-21s 21.34% (-0.23)
Draw 18.76% (-0.13)
Chelsea Under-21s 59.89% (+0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

69.36% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 74.21% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 25.78% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 54.06% (+0.39)
Under 3.5 45.93% (-0.39)

Manchester United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 75.96% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.03% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 41.7% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 58.29% (-0.02)

Chelsea Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 91.31% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 8.68% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 70.09% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 29.9% (-0.41)

Score analysis

Manchester United Under-21s 21.34%
Draw 18.76%
Chelsea Under-21s 59.89%
Manchester United Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.18% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 2.98% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 2.46% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 2.12% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 21.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.27% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 2.45% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 2.09% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 18.76%
Chelsea Under-21s
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 7.24% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.23% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 5.16% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.1% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 5.08% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 4.42% (+0.06)
2-4 @ 3.15% (+0.04)
0-4 @ 3.1% (+0.04)
1-5 @ 2.16% (+0.05)
2-5 @ 1.54% (+0.04)
0-5 @ 1.52% (+0.03)
3-4 @ 1.5% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.82%
Total : 59.89%

Head to Head

Premier League 2 - Div 1
Oct 15, 2022 12.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 1
FT Griffin Park
  • Lewis Hall 52' goal
  • Cesare Casadei 58' goal
  • Jude Soonsup-Bell 82' goal
  • goal Isak Hansen-Aaroen 26'
  • goal Shola Shoretire 90'+5'
  • goal Shola Shoretire 90'+6'