Premier League 2 - Div 1
Mar 6, 2023 at 7pm UK
 

Man Utd U21s
1 - 3
Chelsea U21s

Hugill (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Burstow (32'), Castledine (82'), Mothersille (90+4')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Manchester United Under-21s and Chelsea Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Wolves U21s 2-2 Man Utd U21s
Friday, February 24 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Chelsea Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Chelsea U21s 1-0 Arsenal U21s
Monday, February 27 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 59.89%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 21.34% and a draw had a probability of 18.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.24%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Manchester United Under-21sDrawChelsea Under-21s
21.34% (-0.228 -0.23)18.76% (-0.123 -0.12)59.89% (0.347 0.35)
Both teams to score 69.36% (0.128 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.21% (0.29499999999999 0.29)25.78% (-0.299 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.06% (0.38 0.38)45.93% (-0.383 -0.38)
Manchester United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.7% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)58.29% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Chelsea Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.31% (0.16200000000001 0.16)8.68% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.09% (0.399 0.4)29.9% (-0.402 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United Under-21s 21.34%
    Chelsea Under-21s 59.89%
    Draw 18.76%
Manchester United Under-21sDrawChelsea Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.18% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 2.98% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.46% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.12% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.01% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 21.34%
1-1 @ 7.27% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.45% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.09% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 18.76%
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 7.24% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.23% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 5.16% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.1% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 5.08% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 4.42% (0.053 0.05)
2-4 @ 3.15% (0.038 0.04)
0-4 @ 3.1% (0.036 0.04)
1-5 @ 2.16% (0.042 0.04)
2-5 @ 1.54% (0.031 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.52% (0.029 0.03)
3-4 @ 1.5% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 4.82%
Total : 59.89%

Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 12pm
Chelsea U21s
3-3
Man Utd U21s
Hall (52'), Casadei (58'), Soonsup-Bell (82')
Hutchinson (11')
Hansen-Aaroen (26'), Shoretire (90+5', 90+6')