Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Under-21s win with a probability of 49.49%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.11%) and 2-3 (5.15%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.