Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Liverpool Under-21s had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Liverpool Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Chelsea Under-21s	Draw	Liverpool Under-21s
44.11% ( -1.97)	23.06% ( 0.01)	32.83% ( 1.95)

Both teams to score 63.96% (

0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.81% (

0.82)

37.19% (

-0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.61% (

0.88)

59.39% (

-0.88)

Chelsea Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.66% (

-0.44)

17.34% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.28% (

-0.78)

47.72% (

0.78)

Liverpool Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.38% (

1.53)

22.62% (

-1.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.76% (

2.22)

56.24% (

-2.22)

Score Analysis

Chelsea Under-21s 44.11%

Liverpool Under-21s 32.83%

Draw 23.06%

Chelsea Under-21s	Draw	Liverpool Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.22) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.31) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.16) Other @ 4.1% Total : 44.11%	1-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.06%	1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.17) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.26% Total : 32.83%