Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 49%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea Under-21s	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
49% ( -0.03)	21.46% ( 0)	29.54% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 68.18% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.08% (

-0.02)

30.92% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.7% (

-0.02)

52.29% (

0.02)

Chelsea Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.77% (

-0.02)

13.23% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.01% (

-0.04)

39.98% (

0.03)

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.58% (

0.01)

21.42% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.57% (

0.01)

54.43% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Chelsea Under-21s 49%

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 29.54%

Draw 21.46%

Chelsea Under-21s	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.93% 3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.73% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 49%	1-1 @ 8.83% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.88% 0-0 @ 2.83% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.46%	1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.36% 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0) 3-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.63% Total : 29.54%