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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Salford City |
| 29.2% ( | 25.16% ( | 45.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.43% ( | 48.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.31% ( | 70.69% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.46% ( | 30.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.23% ( | 66.76% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( | 21.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.76% ( | 54.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 7.72% 2-1 @ 7.08% ( 2-0 @ 4.58% ( 3-1 @ 2.8% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 3-0 @ 1.81% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.2% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 10.05% ( 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0-2 @ 7.78% ( 1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0-3 @ 4.01% ( 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0-4 @ 1.55% ( 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.5% Total : 45.62% |