Premier League Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Turf Moor
  • Jordan Beyer 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diogo Dalot 13'
  • goal Jonny Evans 25'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 45'
  • yellowcard Sergio Reguilon 55'

Burnley vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Sep 18, 2023 7.45pm
Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Burnley
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jacob Bruun Larsen

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
Man Utd 1 - 3 Brighton
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Rasmus Hojlund

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result

Burnley 40.67% (-0.04)
Draw 23.36% (+0.01)
Manchester United 35.97% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.76% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.17% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 37.83% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 39.92% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 60.08% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 22.07% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 77.93% (+0.03)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 80.96% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 19.03% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 49.39% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 50.61% (+0.05)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 78.75% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 21.25% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 45.83% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 54.17% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Burnley 40.67%
Draw 23.36%
Manchester United 35.97%
Burnley
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.71% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.57% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.77% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 40.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.39% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.68% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.05% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.36%
Manchester United
1-2 @ 8.05% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.27% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.85% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.15% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.45%
0-3 @ 2.5% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.61% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 35.97%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Dec 21, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Christian Eriksen 27' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 57' goal
Premier League Gameweek 24
Feb 8, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jay Rodriguez 47' goal
  • Erik Pieters 74' yellowcard
  • Josh Brownhill 77' yellowcard
  • goal Paul Pogba 18'
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 62'
Premier League Gameweek 20
Dec 30, 2021 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Scott McTominay 8' goal
  • Ben Mee 27' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 35' goal
  • goal Aaron Lennon 38'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Apr 18, 2021 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Aaron Wan-Bissaka 26' yellowcard
  • Mason Greenwood 48' goal
  • James Tarkowski 50' goal
  • Jack Cork 57' yellowcard
  • Mason Greenwood 84' goal
  • James Tarkowski 89' yellowcard
  • Edinson Cavani 90'+3' goal
Premier League Gameweek 1
Jan 12, 2021 8.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Ashley Westwood 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke Shaw 32'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fernandes 45'+3'
  • goal Paul Pogba 71'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Jan 22, 2020 8.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Chris Wood 39'
  • goal Jay Rodriguez 56'
  • yellowcard Charlie Taylor 67'
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 68'

Build-up

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