Champions League
Bayern
Sep 20, 2023 8.00pm
4
3
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Arena
Man Utd
  • Leroy Sane 28' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 32' goal
  • Harry Kane 53' goal
  • Leon Goretzka 62' yellowcard
  • Mathys Tel 90'+2' goal
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 49'
  • yellowcard Lisandro Martinez 62'
  • goal Casemiro 88'
  • goal Casemiro 90'+5'

Bayern Munich vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Manchester United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 55.07%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result

Bayern Munich 55.07% ▼ (-0.20)
Draw 20.38% ▲ (+0.03)
Manchester United 24.54% ▲ (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.49% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 70.08% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 29.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 48.91% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 51.09% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 29.74% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 70.25% ▼ (-0.05)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 88.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 11.13% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 64.44% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 35.56% ▲ (+0.10)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 75.93% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 24.06% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 41.66% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 1.5 58.34% ▼ (-0.21)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 55.07%
Draw 20.38%
Manchester United 24.54%
Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.02)
4-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 55.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.55% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 20.38%
Manchester United
1-2 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-98.60)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 24.54%

Head to Head

Pre-Season Friendlies
Bayern
Aug 5, 2018 7.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Arena
Man Utd
  • Javi Martinez 59' goal
  • Jerome Boateng 69' yellowcard
Champions League
Bayern
Apr 9, 2014 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Man Utd
  • Mario Mandzukic 59' goal
  • Thomas Muller 68' goal
  • Rafinha 74' yellowcard
  • Arjen Robben 76' goal
  • yellowcard Nemanja Vidic 27'
  • goal Patrice Evra 57'
  • yellowcard Patrice Evra 70'
Champions League
Man Utd
Apr 1, 2014 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Bayern
  • Antonio Valencia 15' yellowcard
  • Nemanja Vidic 58' goal
  • yellowcard Bastian Schweinsteiger 61'
  • goal Bastian Schweinsteiger 66'
  • yellowcard Mario Mandzukic 82'
  • yellowcard Javi Martinez 89'
  • redcard Bastian Schweinsteiger 90'

Form Data

Bayern 2 - 2 B. Leverkusen
Borussia M'bach 1 - 2 Bayern
Bayern 3 - 1 Augsburg
Werder Bremen 0 - 4 Bayern
Bayern 0 - 3 RB Leipzig
Bayern 4 - 2 Monaco
Man Utd 1 - 3 Brighton
Arsenal 3 - 1 Man Utd
Man Utd 3 - 2 Nott'm Forest
Spurs 2 - 0 Man Utd
Man Utd 1 - 0 Wolves
Man Utd 1 - 1 Athletic Bilbao

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