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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 27, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Augsburg logo

Bayern
3 - 1
Augsburg

Uduokhai (32' og.), Kane (40' pen., 69')
Gravenberch (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Beljo (86')
Rexhbecaj (56'), Cardona (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.15%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 11.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 3-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawAugsburg
74.15% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)14.56% (0.015000000000001 0.02)11.29% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 61.42% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.61% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)25.39% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.58% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)45.42% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.15% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)5.85% (0.0099 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.54% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)22.46% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.24% (0.025999999999996 0.03)34.76% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.51% (0.027999999999999 0.03)71.49% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 74.16%
    Augsburg 11.29%
    Draw 14.56%
Bayern MunichDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.19% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 8.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.81% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-0 @ 5.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 5.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 3.3% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 3.12% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 3.07%
5-2 @ 1.74% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 1.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 1.48% (-0.004 -0)
4-3 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.59%
Total : 74.16%
1-1 @ 6.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 2.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 14.56%
1-2 @ 3.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 11.29%

How you voted: Bayern vs Augsburg

Bayern Munich
88.6%
Draw
5.7%
Augsburg
5.7%
35
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Bayern
5-3
Augsburg
Cancelo (15'), Pavard (18', 35'), Sane (45'), Davies (74')
Berisha (2', 60'), Cardona (90+3')
Oct 19, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Augsburg
2-5
Bayern
Pedersen (9'), Upamecano (65' og.)
Maxim Choupo-Moting (27', 59'), Kimmich (53'), Musiala (74'), Davies (90+1')
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Augsburg
1-0
Bayern
Berisha (59')
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Bayern
1-0
Augsburg
Lewandowski (82' pen.)
Kouassi (68')

Oxford (36'), Weinzierl (80'), Dorsch (90+2')
Nov 19, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Augsburg
2-1
Bayern
Pedersen (23'), Hahn (36')
Hahn (45'), Framberger (79'), Weinzierl (90+1')
Lewandowski (38')
Hernandez (45+1')