DFB-Pokal | First Round

Aug 13, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Alpenbauer Sportpark

Unterhaching
2 - 0
Augsburg

Fetsch (28'), Mashigo (90+4')
Schifferl (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pedersen (64')

Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Unterhaching and Augsburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Unterhaching

Last Game: Ajax 5-3 Unterhaching
Tuesday, July 25 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Augsburg 3-1 Ajax
Saturday, July 29 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 75.66%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Unterhaching had a probability of 9.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.19%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Unterhaching win it was 2-1 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Unterhaching	Draw	Augsburg
9.7% ( -1.24)	14.63% ( -0.23)	75.66% ( 1.48)

Both teams to score 54.27% (

-4.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.97% (

-2.92)

31.02% (

2.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.58% (

-3.54)

52.42% (

3.55)

Unterhaching Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.24% (

-4.41)

41.76% (

4.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.78% (

-4.09)

78.22% (

4.09)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.18% (

-0.37)

6.82% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.86% (

-1.02)

25.14% (

1.02)

Score Analysis

Unterhaching 9.7%

Augsburg 75.66%

Draw 14.63%

Unterhaching	Draw	Augsburg
2-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.29) 1-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.07% Total : 9.7%	1-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.47) 0-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.44) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.17% Total : 14.63%	0-2 @ 10.26% ( 1.21) 0-3 @ 9.19% ( 0.92) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 8.03% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 1.05) 0-4 @ 6.17% ( 0.5) 1-4 @ 5.39% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.51) 0-5 @ 3.31% ( 0.21) 1-5 @ 2.89% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.4) 0-6 @ 1.48% ( 0.06) 1-6 @ 1.29% ( -0.1) 2-5 @ 1.26% ( -0.24) Other @ 3.91% Total : 75.66%