Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 4

Sep 15, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
2 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Kane (7'), Goretzka (86')
Tuchel (25')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Grimaldo (24'), Palacios (90+4' pen.)
Hofmann (34'), Wirtz (47'), Tapsoba (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-2 Bayern
Saturday, September 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-1 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
47.84% ( -0.09)	22.85% ( -0.16)	29.3% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 62.74% (

0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.03% (

0.94)

37.97% (

-0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.77% (

0.99)

60.23% (

-0.99)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.78% (

0.32)

16.22% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.28% (

0.58)

45.72% (

-0.58)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.89% (

0.63)

25.11% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.19% (

0.87)

59.81% (

-0.87)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 47.84%

Bayer Leverkusen 29.3%

Draw 22.84%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.62% Total : 47.84%	1-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.84%	1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.3%