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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
BayArena
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

B. Leverkusen
2 - 2
Borussia M'bach

Adli (15'), Demirbay (20')
Demirbay (45'), Palacios (77'), Amiri (81')
Hincapie (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hofmann (58'), Stindl (90')
Kone (35'), Friedrich (47'), Stindl (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 Borussia Monchengladbach

Leverkusen are likely to be angry yet highly fatigued after their exerted efforts against Roma ultimately came to nothing, and we believe Gladbach can defy their awful away record to gain a positive result on Sunday. Farke's side always carry an attacking threat in transition and, although it is hard to envisage them keeping Leverkusen out at the other end, we expect to see an entertaining end-of-season affair at the BayArena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 65.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 14.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
65.81% (0.63500000000001 0.64) 19.26% (-0.286 -0.29) 14.92% (-0.344 -0.34)
Both teams to score 53.83% (0.146 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.2% (0.615 0.62)39.8% (-0.61 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.84% (0.634 0.63)62.16% (-0.628 -0.63)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.71% (0.351 0.35)11.29% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.08% (0.753 0.75)35.92% (-0.748 -0.75)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.68% (-0.073 -0.07)39.32% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.98% (-0.069999999999997 -0.07)76.02% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 65.81%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 14.92%
    Draw 19.26%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.68% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-0 @ 7.68% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 7.17% (0.082 0.08)
4-0 @ 4.19% (0.114 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.91% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.031 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.83% (0.074 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.82% (0.042 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.71% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 65.81%
1-1 @ 9.04% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.44% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.26%
1-2 @ 4.22% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
0-1 @ 4.14% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 14.92%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Borussia M'bach

Bayer Leverkusen
78.1%
Draw
15.6%
Borussia Monchengladbach
6.3%
32
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 4.30pm
gameweek 16
Borussia M'bach
2-3
B. Leverkusen
Stindl (82', 90+3')
Kone (44'), Weigl (89'), Stindl (90+6')
Bakker (21'), Adli (43'), Amiri (67')
Sinkgraven (90+5'), Bakker (90+6')
Jan 15, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 19
Borussia M'bach
1-2
B. Leverkusen
Elvedi (81')
Stindl (45+1'), Beyer (83')
Andrich (51'), Schick (74')
Tah (28'), Bakker (36'), Demirbay (90+4')
Aug 21, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 2
B. Leverkusen
4-0
Borussia M'bach
Sommer (3' og.), Schick (8'), Diaby (55'), Amiri (87')
Demirbay (34'), Bakker (41'), Paulinho (48'), Diaby (90+1')

Kramer (75'), Wolf (76')
Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 24
Borussia M'bach
0-1
B. Leverkusen
Schick (76')
Amiri (38'), Schick (90+3')
Nov 8, 2020 5pm
gameweek 7
B. Leverkusen
4-3
Borussia M'bach
Alario (27', 41'), Bailey (68'), Baumgartlinger (82')
Hradecky (18'), Bender (51'), Wirtz (84'), Diaby (86')
Stindl (18' pen., 29'), Lazaro (90+4')
Bensebaini (45+4'), Embolo (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Wolfsburg146353125621
7Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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