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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 35.66% ( | 24.21% ( | 40.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.93% ( | 42.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.53% ( | 64.46% ( |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.65% ( | 23.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.69% ( | 57.3% ( |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( | 21.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.09% ( | 53.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 1-0 @ 7.16% ( 2-0 @ 5.21% ( 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 4-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 35.66% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 3-3 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0-1 @ 7.66% ( 0-2 @ 5.96% ( 1-3 @ 4.5% ( 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0-3 @ 3.09% ( 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0-4 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 40.12% |