DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 12, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Leverkusen logo

Teutonia Hamburg
0 - 8
B. Leverkusen


Maiolo (28'), Glawogger (29')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Tapsoba (16'), Okoh Boniface (42'), Wirtz (45+1'), Adli (59' pen.), Frimpong (67'), Hlozek (74', 90'), Hofmann (81')
Hlozek (86')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Teutonia Hamburg and Bayer Leverkusen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Teutonia Hamburg

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Last Game: Teutonia Hamburg 0-8 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.46pm in DFB-Pokal
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Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-0 West Ham
Saturday, August 5 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 69.1%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Teutonia Hamburg had a probability of 13.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Teutonia Hamburg win it was 2-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Teutonia HamburgDrawBayer Leverkusen
13.3% (-0.019 -0.02)17.61% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)69.1% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.4% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.4% (-0.080999999999989 -0.08)35.6% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.34% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)57.66% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Teutonia Hamburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.1% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)38.9% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.37% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)75.63% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.68% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)9.32% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.56% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)31.44% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Teutonia Hamburg 13.3%
    Bayer Leverkusen 69.09%
    Draw 17.61%
Teutonia HamburgDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 3.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 3.42% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.21% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 13.3%
1-1 @ 8.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.63% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.61%
0-2 @ 10.2% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.64% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 8.61% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 8.07% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 4.79% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-4 @ 4.52% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-5 @ 2.27%
1-5 @ 2.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 2.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 69.09%