/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Flutlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fburlog_1.png)
-
Jacob Brown
36'
-
Reece Burke
59'
-
Elijah Adebayo
84'
-
Tahith Chong
90'+2'
-
Marvelous Nakamba
90'+3'
-
Lyle Foster
45'+2'
-
Connor Roberts
66'
-
Jacob Bruun Larsen
85'
-
Charlie Taylor
90'+4'
Luton Town vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
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Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F39%2Ftom-lockyer.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result
Luton Town
35.67%
▼
(-0.53)
Draw
26.87%
▼
(-0.10)
Burnley
37.46%
▲
(+0.63)
Both Teams to Score:
51.31%
▲
(+0.30)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.14%
▲
(+0.39)
Under 2.5
53.86%
▼
(-0.38)
Over 3.5
24.68%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 3.5
75.33%
▼
(-0.32)
Over 4.5
11.15%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 4.5
88.85%
▼
(-0.20)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5
71.1%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 0.5
28.9%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 1.5
35.22%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 1.5
64.78%
▲
(+0.18)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
72.17%
▲
(+0.56)
Under 0.5
27.83%
▼
(-0.55)
Over 1.5
36.57%
▲
(+0.71)
Under 1.5
63.43%
▼
(-0.70)
Score analysis
Luton Town
35.67%
Draw
26.87%
Burnley
37.45%
Luton Town
1-0
@
9.99%
▼
(-0.19)
2-1 @ 7.93% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.15)
3-1 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.67%
2-1 @ 7.93% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.15)
3-1 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.67%
Draw
1-1
@
12.77%
▼
(-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.87%
0-0 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.87%
Burnley
0-1
@
10.28%
1-2 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 6.58% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 37.45%
1-2 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 6.58% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 37.45%
Steve Foster
73'