Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 2

Oct 3, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
1 - 2
Burnley

Adebayo (84')
Brown (36'), Burke (59'), Nakamba (90+3'), Chong (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Foster (45+2'), Bruun Larsen (85')
Roberts (66'), Taylor (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Jacob Bruun Larsen scores a late winner as Burnley beat Luton Town 2-1 in the Premier League this evening.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Everton 1-2 Luton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burnley

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Burnley
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Burnley
35.67% ( -0.53)	26.87% ( -0.1)	37.46% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 51.31% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.14% (

0.38)

53.86% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.68% (

0.32)

75.33% (

-0.31)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.1% (

-0.13)

28.9% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.22% (

-0.17)

64.78% (

0.17)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.17% (

0.55)

27.83% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.57% (

0.7)

63.43% (

-0.7)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 35.67%

Burnley 37.45%

Draw 26.87%

Luton Town	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.67%	1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.87%	0-1 @ 10.28% 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.87% Total : 37.45%