Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 2 4
FT Goodison Park
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 41' goal
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 41' goal
  • goal Tom Lockyer 24'
  • goal Tom Lockyer 24'
  • goal Carlton Morris 31'
  • goal Carlton Morris 31'
  • yellowcard Issa Kabore 66'
  • yellowcard Issa Kabore 66'

Everton vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions
Last game
Sep 23, 2023 5.30pm
Brentford 1 - 3 Everton
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Luton Town

All competitions
Premier League
Last game
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
Luton 1 - 1 Wolves
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Elijah Adebayo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

Everton 37.13% (+0.04)
Draw 27.91% (-0.01)
Luton Town 34.96% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.02% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.04% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 57.96% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 21.35% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 78.66% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 9.12% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 90.88% (-0.02)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5 69.98% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 30.02% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 33.86% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 66.14% (-0.05)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 68.62% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 31.38%
Over 1.5 32.25% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 67.75% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Everton 37.12%
Draw 27.91%
Luton Town 34.95%
Everton
1-0 @ 11.33%
2-1 @ 7.91% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.82% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.17% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.74% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.84% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 37.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.13% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.42% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.58% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.91%
Luton Town
0-1 @ 10.91% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.61% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.33% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.95%