Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 20.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-0 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Everton in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Everton.