/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnewlog.png)
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Anthony Gordon
37'
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Sean Longstaff
38'
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Fabian Schar
38'
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Anthony Gordon
64'
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Bruno Guimaraes
88'
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Tino Livramento
90'+1'
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Kai Havertz
37'
Newcastle United vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
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News
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F44%2Fnewant.JPG)
Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F09%2Femile-smith-rowe.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result
Newcastle United
35.42%
▲
(+1.31)
Draw
25.06%
▼
(-0.47)
Arsenal
39.51%
▼
(-0.85)
Both Teams to Score:
57.38%
▲
(+1.86)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.92%
▲
(+2.30)
Under 2.5
46.08%
▼
(-2.29)
Over 3.5
31.62%
▲
(+2.13)
Under 3.5
68.38%
▼
(-2.13)
Over 4.5
15.8%
▲
(+1.49)
Under 4.5
84.2%
▼
(-1.49)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5
74.66%
▲
(+1.86)
Under 0.5
25.34%
▼
(-1.86)
Over 1.5
39.87%
▲
(+2.49)
Under 1.5
60.13%
▼
(-2.49)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5
76.86%
▲
(+0.59)
Under 0.5
23.14%
▼
(-0.59)
Over 1.5
42.99%
▲
(+0.86)
Under 1.5
57.01%
▼
(-0.86)
Score analysis
Newcastle United
35.42%
Draw
25.06%
Arsenal
39.51%
Newcastle United
2-1
@
8.09%
▲
(+0.22)
1-0 @ 8.05% ▼ (-0.36)
2-0 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.29)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.26)
3-0 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.16)
4-1 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 35.42%
1-0 @ 8.05% ▼ (-0.36)
2-0 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.29)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.26)
3-0 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.16)
4-1 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 35.42%
Draw
1-1
@
11.78%
▼
(-0.31)
2-2 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.26)
0-0 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.59)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.06%
2-2 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.26)
0-0 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.59)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.06%
Arsenal
1-2
@
8.62%
▼
(-0.08)
0-1 @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.71)
0-2 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.40)
1-3 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.18)
1-4 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-96.55)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 39.51%
0-1 @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.71)
0-2 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.40)
1-3 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.18)
1-4 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-96.55)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 39.51%
Head to Head
Build-up
News
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