Champions League
Oct 25, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. James' Park
  • Bruno Guimaraes 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marius Wolf 35'
  • goal Felix Nmecha 45'

Newcastle United vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 4, 2023 8.00pm
Newcastle 4 - 1 PSG

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 4, 2023 8.00pm
Dortmund 0 - 0 AC Milan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.68%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Newcastle United 42.63% (-0.25)
Draw 23.1% (+0.05)
Borussia Dortmund 34.27% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.33% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.08% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 36.92% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 40.9% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 59.1% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 22.87% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 77.13% (+0.15)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 82.17% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 17.82% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 51.43% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 48.56% (+0.29)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 78.28% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 21.71% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 45.12% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 54.88% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 42.63%
Draw 23.1%
Borussia Dortmund 34.27%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.68% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.86% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 42.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.19% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.87% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.1%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2 @ 7.78% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 5.91% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.51% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.96% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.42% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.3% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.51% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.31% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 34.27%

Build-up

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