Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.68%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.