/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flogdor.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog_1.png)
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Nico Schlotterbeck
19'
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Emre Can
25'
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Mats Hummels
81'
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Tijjani Reijnders
23'
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Yunus Musah
88'
Borussia Dortmund vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result
Borussia Dortmund
49.7%
▼
(-0.25)
Draw
22.66%
▲
(+0.20)
AC Milan
27.64%
▲
(+0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
62.16%
▼
(-0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.81%
▼
(-0.88)
Under 2.5
38.19%
▲
(+0.88)
Over 3.5
39.53%
▼
(-0.94)
Under 3.5
60.46%
▲
(+0.94)
Over 4.5
21.77%
▼
(-0.76)
Under 4.5
78.23%
▲
(+0.76)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5
84.36%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 0.5
15.63%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 1.5
55.35%
▼
(-0.76)
Under 1.5
44.65%
▲
(+0.76)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
73.68%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 0.5
26.32%
▲
(+0.42)
Over 1.5
38.54%
▼
(-0.56)
Under 1.5
61.45%
▲
(+0.56)
Score analysis
Borussia Dortmund
49.7%
Draw
22.65%
AC Milan
27.64%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1
@
9.46%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.64% ▲ (+0.22)
2-0 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 4.38%
3-2 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.08)
5-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 49.7%
1-0 @ 7.64% ▲ (+0.22)
2-0 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 4.38%
3-2 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.08)
5-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 49.7%
Draw
1-1
@
10.19%
▲
(+0.17)
2-2 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.18)
3-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.65%
2-2 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.18)
3-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.65%
AC Milan
1-2
@
6.8%
▲
(+0.04)
0-1 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.17)
0-2 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.17)
0-2 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 27.64%
