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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 27, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Milan logo

Cagliari
1 - 3
AC Milan

Luvumbo (29')
Wieteska (42'), Zappa (53'), Oristanio (78')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Okafor (40'), Tomori (45'), Loftus-Cheek (60')
Loftus-Cheek (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Cagliari
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 0-3 AC Milan

Given that Cagliari have scored just one goal across five games without tasting victory this season, we expect AC Milan to cruise to a comfortable victory at the Unipol Domus on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 36.44%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawAC Milan
36.24%27.31%36.44% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 49.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.4% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.59% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)76.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.6% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)29.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.61% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)65.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)29.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)65.23% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 36.24%
    AC Milan 36.44%
    Draw 27.31%
CagliariDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 7.92%
2-0 @ 6.45%
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-0 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 36.24%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 8.6% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 10.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.49%
1-3 @ 3.26%
0-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 36.44%

How you voted: Cagliari vs AC Milan

Cagliari
5.5%
Draw
9.9%
AC Milan
84.6%
91
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
AC Milan
4-1
Cagliari
Tonali (12'), Leao (17'), Giroud (24', 43' pen.)
Diaz (73')
Deiola (15')
Henrique (5'), Deiola (38'), Strootman (41'), Godin (62'), Nandez (84')
May 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
AC Milan
0-0
Cagliari
Kjaer (33'), Calabria (58')
Marin (40'), Carboni (45+1')
Jan 18, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Cagliari
0-2
AC Milan

Godin (83'), Ceppitelli (88')
Ibrahimovic (7' pen., 52')
Romagnoli (39'), Saelemaekers (68')
Saelemaekers (74')
Aug 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
AC Milan
3-0
Cagliari
Klavan (11' og.), Ibrahimovic (55'), Castillejo (57')
Saelemaekers (67')

Pereiro (13'), Farago (45'), Cragno (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma33177959392058
6Lazio34174134335855
7Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino33111393129246
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3387182648-2231
18Udinese33416133150-1928
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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