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Serie A

Atalanta logo
Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2023 at 2pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Cagliari logo

Atalanta
2 - 0
Cagliari

Lookman (33'), Pasalic (76')
Djimsiti (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Deiola (32'), Luvumbo (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Rakow
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League

Cagliari

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 0-0 Udinese
Sunday, September 17 at 11.30am in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 53.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 22.39%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawCagliari
53.83% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)23.77% (0.029 0.03)22.39% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 52.72% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.9% (-0.118 -0.12)48.1% (0.119 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.74% (-0.108 -0.11)70.26% (0.10900000000001 0.11)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.22% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)17.78% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.51% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)48.49% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.12% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)35.88% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.34% (-0.064 -0.06)72.66% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 53.82%
    Cagliari 22.4%
    Draw 23.77%
Atalanta BCDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 9.51% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 53.82%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.38% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.77%
0-1 @ 6.54% (0.021 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 22.4%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Cagliari

Atalanta BC
87.9%
Draw
6.1%
Cagliari
6.1%
33
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