Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2023 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Ademola Lookman 33' goal
  • Berat Djimsiti 54' yellowcard
  • Mario Pasalic 76' goal
  • yellowcard Alessandro Deiola 32'
  • yellowcard Zito Luvumbo 42'

Atalanta BC vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Sep 17, 2023 5.00pm
Fiorentina 3 - 2 Atalanta
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Gianluca Scamacca

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Sep 17, 2023 11.30am
Cagliari 0 - 0 Udinese
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Nicolas Viola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 53.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 22.39%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result

Atalanta BC 53.83% (-0.04)
Draw 23.77% (+0.03)
Cagliari 22.39% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.72% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.9% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 48.1% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 29.74% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 70.26% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 14.49% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 85.51% (+0.08)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 82.22% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 17.78% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 51.51% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 48.49% (+0.10)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 64.12% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 35.88% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 27.34% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 72.66% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 53.82%
Draw 23.77%
Cagliari 22.4%
Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.01% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.51% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 53.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.38% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 23.77%
Cagliari
0-1 @ 6.54% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.35% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 22.4%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 24
Feb 6, 2022 11.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Juan Musso 52' redcard
  • Davide Zappacosta 61' yellowcard
  • Jose Luis Palomino 64' goal
  • yellowcard Dalbert Henrique 24'
  • yellowcard Alberto Grassi 35'
  • goal Gaston Pereiro 50'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Deiola 63'
  • goal Gaston Pereiro 68'
  • yellowcard Alessio Cragno 90'
  • yellowcard Edoardo Goldaniga 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Walter Mazzarri 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 12
Nov 6, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Diego Godin 20' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 27' goal
  • goal Mario Pasalic 6'
  • goal Duvan Zapata 43'
  • yellowcard Teun Koopmeiners 45'
Serie A Gameweek 22
Feb 14, 2021 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sebastian Walukiewicz 7' yellowcard
  • Daniele Rugani 60' yellowcard
  • Charalampos Lykogiannis 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristian Romero 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Josip Ilicic 68'
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 89'
  • goal Luis Muriel 90'
Coppa Italia
Jan 14, 2021 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Aleksey Miranchuk 43' goal
  • Luis Muriel 61' goal
  • Bosko Sutalo 64' goal
  • Josip Ilicic 81' yellowcard
  • goal Riccardo Sottil 55'
Serie A Gameweek 3
Oct 4, 2020 11.30am
5
2
HT : 4 1
FT
  • Luis Muriel 7' goal
  • Papu 29' goal
  • Mario Pasalic 37' goal
  • Duvan Zapata 42' goal
  • Sam Lammers 81' goal
  • goal Diego Godin 24'
  • goal Joao Pedro 52'
Serie A Gameweek 30
Jul 5, 2020 6.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Andrea Carboni 5' yellowcard
  • Andrea Carboni 27' redcard
  • Fabio Pisacane 44' yellowcard
  • Nahitan Nandez 70' yellowcard
  • goal Luis Muriel 27'
  • yellowcard Jose Luis Palomino 62'
  • yellowcard Hans Hateboer 71'