Serie A Gameweek 4
Fiorentina
Sep 17, 2023 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Atalanta
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 35' goal
  • Lucas Martinez 45' goal
  • Christian Kouame 76' goal
  • Fabiano Parisi 87' yellowcard
  • goal Teun Koopmeiners 20'
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 34'
  • goal Ademola Lookman 53'
  • yellowcard Nadir Zortea 65'

Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Sep 3, 2023 5.30pm
Inter Milan 4 - 0 Fiorentina
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Nicolas Gonzalez

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2023 7.45pm
Atalanta 3 - 0 Monza
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Gianluca Scamacca

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result

Fiorentina 48.11% ▼ (-0.45)
Draw 24.43% ▼ (-0.27)
Atalanta BC 27.46% ▲ (+0.71)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.84% ▲ (+1.45)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.55% ▲ (+1.64)
Under 2.5 46.45% ▼ (-1.64)
Over 3.5 31.27% ▲ (+1.52)
Under 3.5 68.73% ▼ (-1.52)
Over 4.5 15.56% ▲ (+1.06)
Under 4.5 84.44% ▼ (-1.06)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 80.61% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 0.5 19.38% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 1.5 48.81% ▲ (+0.76)
Under 1.5 51.19% ▼ (-0.76)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 69.27% ▲ (+1.40)
Under 0.5 30.72% ▼ (-1.40)
Over 1.5 33.02% ▲ (+1.63)
Under 1.5 66.98% ▼ (-1.63)

Score analysis

Fiorentina 48.11%
Draw 24.43%
Atalanta BC 27.46%
Fiorentina
1-0 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.54)
2-1 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.02% ▼ (-0.33)
3-1 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.16)
4-1 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 48.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.53% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.43)
2-2 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.21)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.43%
Atalanta BC
0-1 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.22)
1-2 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.17)
2-3 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 27.46%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 30
Fiorentina
Apr 17, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Atalanta
  • Arthur Cabral 56' goal
  • goal Joakim Maehle 37'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Atalanta
Oct 2, 2022 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
Fiorentina
  • Ademola Lookman 59' goal
Serie A Gameweek 26
Fiorentina
Feb 20, 2022 11.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Atalanta
  • Nikola Milenkovic 15' yellowcard
  • Krzysztof Piatek 56' goal
  • Sofyan Amrabat 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Berat Djimsiti 13'
  • yellowcard Ruslan Malinovskyi 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Merih Demiral 45'+2'
  • redcard Gian Piero Gasperini 64'
  • yellowcard Rafael Toloi 74'
  • yellowcard Marco Sportiello 90'+6'
Coppa Italia
Atalanta
Feb 10, 2022 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina
  • Marten de Roon 7' yellowcard
  • Davide Zappacosta 30' goal
  • Mario Pasalic 32' yellowcard
  • Jeremie Boga 56' goal
  • goal Krzysztof Piatek 9'
  • yellowcard Igor Julio 38'
  • yellowcard Lucas Martinez 45'+1'
  • goal Krzysztof Piatek 71'
  • redcard Lucas Martinez 79'
  • goal Nikola Milenkovic 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 3
Atalanta
Sep 11, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Fiorentina
  • Joakim Maehle 31' yellowcard
  • Duvan Zapata 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Duvan Zapata 65' goal
  • Robin Gosens 76' yellowcard
  • Remo Freuler 86' yellowcard
  • Jose Luis Palomino 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Dusan Vlahovic 33'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Bonaventura 45'+2'
  • goal Dusan Vlahovic 49'
  • yellowcard Igor Julio 56'
  • yellowcard Nikola Milenkovic 74'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Odriozola 81'
Serie A Gameweek 30
Fiorentina
Apr 11, 2021 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Atalanta
  • German Pezzella 32' yellowcard
  • Sofyan Amrabat 53' yellowcard
  • Dusan Vlahovic 57' goal
  • Dusan Vlahovic 66' goal
  • Nikola Milenkovic 72' yellowcard
  • goal Duvan Zapata 13'
  • yellowcard Cristian Romero 23'
  • goal Duvan Zapata 40'
  • goal Josip Ilicic 70'

Form Data

Inter Milan 4 - 0 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 2 - 0 Rapid Vienna
Fiorentina 2 - 2 Lecce
Rapid Vienna 1 - 0 Fiorentina
Genoa 1 - 4 Fiorentina
Newcastle 2 - 0 Fiorentina
Atalanta 3 - 0 Monza
Frosinone 2 - 1 Atalanta
Sassuolo 0 - 2 Atalanta
Juventus 0 - 0 Atalanta
Bournemouth 1 - 3 Atalanta
Atalanta 5 - 2 Monza