Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Atalanta BC |
48.11% ( -0.44) | 24.43% ( -0.27) | 27.46% ( 0.71) |
Both teams to score 55.84% ( 1.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.55% ( 1.63) | 46.45% ( -1.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.27% ( 1.52) | 68.73% ( -1.52) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.61% ( 0.46) | 19.38% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.81% ( 0.75) | 51.19% ( -0.76) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.27% ( 1.4) | 30.72% ( -1.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.02% ( 1.62) | 66.98% ( -1.62) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.54) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.08% Total : 48.11% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.98% Total : 27.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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