Serie A Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 8.00pm
5
2
HT : 2 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Teun Koopmeiners 12' goal
  • Teun Koopmeiners 45'+1' goal
  • Rasmus Hojlund 74' goal
  • Teun Koopmeiners 79' goal
  • Luis Muriel 90'+2' goal
  • goal Andrea Colpani 51'
  • goal Andrea Petagna 81'

Atalanta BC vs Monza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
May 27, 2023 7.45pm
Inter Milan 3 - 2 Atalanta
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Ademola Lookman

Monza

All competitions
Last game
May 28, 2023 2.00pm
Monza 0 - 1 Lecce
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Carlos Augusto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 59.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Monza had a probability of 18.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result

Atalanta BC 59.53% (+0.73)
Draw 22.28% (+0.19)
Monza 18.19% (-0.92)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.88% (-2.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.73% (-2.18)
Under 2.5 47.27% (+2.18)
Over 3.5 30.5% (-2.06)
Under 3.5 69.5% (+2.06)
Over 4.5 15.02% (-1.46)
Under 4.5 84.98% (+1.46)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 84.5% (-0.50)
Under 0.5 15.49% (+0.50)
Over 1.5 55.61% (-0.94)
Under 1.5 44.39% (+0.94)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5 60.21% (-2.30)
Under 0.5 39.79% (+2.30)
Over 1.5 23.54% (-2.19)
Under 1.5 76.46% (+2.19)

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 59.52%
Draw 22.28%
Monza 18.19%
Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.49% (+0.83)
2-0 @ 10.71% (+0.60)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 6.66% (+0.27)
3-1 @ 6.14% (-0.15)
4-0 @ 3.11% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 2.86% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.26)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.15)
5-0 @ 1.16% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 59.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.59% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 6.17% (+0.55)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.32)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.28%
Monza
0-1 @ 5.68% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 4.88% (-0.26)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.18)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.20)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 18.19%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2022 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT U-Power Stadium
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 57'
  • goal Marlon Santos 65' (OG)