Serie A | Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Atalanta5 - 2Monza
Koopmeiners (12', 45+1', 79'), Hojlund (74'), Muriel (90+2')
Piero Gasperini (0'), Toloi (64')
Piero Gasperini (67')
Piero Gasperini (0'), Toloi (64')
Piero Gasperini (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-2 Atalanta
Saturday, May 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, May 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 0-1 Lecce
Sunday, May 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, May 28 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: Atalanta BC 1-1 Monza
Given Atalanta are rarely convincing on home soil and Monza have proved themselves solid when hitting the road, a share of the spoils is on the cards. The visitors recruited well last summer and have forged a fearless mentality; in many ways, following in the footsteps of their hosts - Serie A's serial overachievers. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 59.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Monza had a probability of 18.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Monza |
59.53% ( 0.73) | 22.28% ( 0.19) | 18.19% ( -0.92) |
| Both teams to score 50.88% ( -2.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
