Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Monza had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Monza |
| 43.06% ( | 26.49% ( | 30.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.54% ( | 53.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.02% | 74.98% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% ( | 24.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.87% ( | 59.13% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% ( | 32.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.36% ( | 68.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 4-0 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 43.05% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.92% 2-2 @ 5.01% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 2-3 @ 1.89% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 30.45% |