Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Bologna |
| 40.12% ( | 26.19% ( | 33.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.68% ( | 51.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.86% ( | 73.14% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.83% ( | 25.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.11% ( | 59.89% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% ( | 28.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.23% ( | 64.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% ( 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 2-0 @ 6.92% ( 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 4-0 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 40.12% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0-2 @ 5.61% ( 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 1-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.68% |