Serie A Gameweek 37
May 28, 2023 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT U-Power Stadium
  • goal Lorenzo Colombo 90'+11'

Monza vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions
Last game
May 19, 2023 7.45pm
Sassuolo 1 - 2 Monza
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Carlos Augusto

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
May 21, 2023 11.30am
Lecce 0 - 0 Spezia
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Gabriel Espeto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 23.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Monza 50.13% (+0.34)
Draw 26.36% (+0.05)
Lecce 23.51% (-0.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.42% (-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.95% (-0.47)
Under 2.5 57.05% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 22.06% (-0.38)
Under 3.5 77.94% (+0.38)
Over 4.5 9.55% (-0.23)
Under 4.5 90.45% (+0.23)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5 77.16% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 22.85% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 43.43% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 56.57% (+0.07)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 60.16% (-0.63)
Under 0.5 39.84% (+0.63)
Over 1.5 23.5% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 76.5% (+0.58)

Score analysis

Monza 50.13%
Draw 26.35%
Lecce 23.51%
Monza
1-0 @ 13.43% (+0.22)
2-0 @ 9.92% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.88% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.8% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 50.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.1% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.35%
Lecce
0-1 @ 8.38% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 23.51%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 6
Sep 11, 2022 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Joan Gonzalez 48' goal
  • goal Stefano Sensi 35'
Serie B Gameweek 26
Feb 27, 2022 2.35pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Giulio Donati 25' yellowcard
  • Luca Mazzitelli 45' yellowcard
  • Pepin 50' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Paletta 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alessandro Tuia 45'+1'
  • goal Massimo Coda 56'
  • yellowcard Fabio Lucioni 63'
  • yellowcard Mario Gargiulo 66'
Serie B Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2021 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Espeto 45'+1' goal
  • Antonio Barreca 51' yellowcard
  • Francesco Di Mariano 55' goal
  • Massimo Coda 70' goal
  • yellowcard Luca Marrone 32'
  • yellowcard Luca Mazzitelli 74'
Serie B Gameweek 36
May 4, 2021 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Andrea Barberis 41' goal
  • Mario Balotelli 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 70'
Serie B Gameweek 17
Jan 4, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marco Mancosu 6' yellowcard
  • Panagiotis Tachtsidis 14' yellowcard
  • Kastriot Dermaku 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Davide Bettella 7'
  • redcard Giuseppe Bellusci 90'