Serie A Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Allianz Stadium
  • Leandro Paredes 15' goal
  • Dusan Vlahovic 40' goal
  • goal Assan Ceesay 37'

Juventus vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions
Last game
Apr 30, 2023 7.45pm
Bologna 1 - 1 Juventus
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Dusan Vlahovic

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Apr 28, 2023 5.30pm
Lecce 1 - 0 Udinese
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Gabriel Espeto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result

Juventus 59.33% (+2.68)
Draw 23.57% (-0.91)
Lecce 17.1% (-1.78)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.06% (-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5 46% (+0.95)
Under 2.5 54% (-0.95)
Over 3.5 24.56% (+0.79)
Under 3.5 75.44% (-0.79)
Over 4.5 11.08% (+0.50)
Under 4.5 88.92% (-0.49)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5 82.06% (+1.36)
Under 0.5 17.94% (-1.36)
Over 1.5 51.23% (+2.28)
Under 1.5 48.76% (-2.28)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 54.92% (-1.59)
Under 0.5 45.08% (+1.59)
Over 1.5 19% (-1.30)
Under 1.5 80.99% (+1.30)

Score analysis

Juventus 59.32%
Draw 23.57%
Lecce 17.1%
Juventus
1-0 @ 13.89% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 11.93% (+0.59)
2-1 @ 9.51% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 6.84% (+0.61)
3-1 @ 5.45% (+0.26)
4-0 @ 2.94% (+0.38)
4-1 @ 2.34% (+0.21)
3-2 @ 2.17% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-83.40)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 59.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.42)
0-0 @ 8.09% (-0.31)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 23.57%
Lecce
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.55)
1-2 @ 4.41% (-0.38)
0-2 @ 2.57% (-0.35)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.16)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.09)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 17.1%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • goal Nicolo Fagioli 73'
Serie A Gameweek 28
Jun 26, 2020 8.45pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Stadium
  • Rodrigo Bentancur 38' yellowcard
  • Paulo Dybala 53' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 62' goal
  • Gonzalo Higuain 83' goal
  • Matthijs de Ligt 85' goal
  • redcard Fabio Lucioni 32'
Serie A Gameweek 9
Oct 26, 2019 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare (Lecce)
  • Marco Calderoni 13' yellowcard
  • Luca Rossettini 18' yellowcard
  • Marco Mancosu 56' goal
  • Marco Mancosu 73' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Lapadula 88' yellowcard
  • goal Paulo Dybala 50'
  • yellowcard Federico Bernardeschi 79'