Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 33

May 3, 2023 at 5pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
2 - 1
Lecce

Paredes (15'), Vlahovic (40')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ceesay (37' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Juventus
Sunday, April 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Udinese
Friday, April 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Lecce
59.33% ( 2.67)	23.57% ( -0.9)	17.1% ( -1.77)

Both teams to score 45.06% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46% (

0.95)

54% (

-0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.56% (

0.79)

75.44% (

-0.79)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.06% (

1.35)

17.94% (

-1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.23% (

2.27)

48.76% (

-2.27)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.92% (

-1.59)

45.08% (

1.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19% (

-1.29)

80.99% (

1.29)

Score Analysis

Juventus 59.32%

Lecce 17.1%

Draw 23.57%

Juventus	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 13.89% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.61) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.26) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.37) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.31% Total : 59.32%	1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.42) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.63% Total : 23.57%	0-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.54) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.5% Total : 17.1%