Europa League
Apr 20, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio José Alvalade
  • Marcus Edwards 20' goal
  • goal Adrien Rabiot 9'

Sporting Lisbon vs Juventus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Apr 13, 2023 8.00pm
Juventus 1 - 0 Sporting Lisbon

Juventus

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Apr 13, 2023 8.00pm
Juventus 1 - 0 Sporting Lisbon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 53.82% (+0.67)
Draw 24.42% (+0.20)
Juventus 21.74% (-0.86)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.88% (-1.68)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.55% (-1.68)
Under 2.5 51.44% (+1.68)
Over 3.5 26.74% (-1.48)
Under 3.5 73.25% (+1.49)
Over 4.5 12.48% (-0.98)
Under 4.5 87.51% (+0.99)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 80.95% (-0.39)
Under 0.5 19.04% (+0.39)
Over 1.5 49.37% (-0.64)
Under 1.5 50.63% (+0.65)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5 61.61% (-1.77)
Under 0.5 38.38% (+1.78)
Over 1.5 24.86% (-1.74)
Under 1.5 75.13% (+1.74)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 53.82%
Draw 24.42%
Juventus 21.75%
Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 12.12% (+0.66)
2-0 @ 10.05% (+0.43)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.56% (+0.18)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.18)
4-0 @ 2.3% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 53.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.31% (+0.48)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.26)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.42%
Juventus
0-1 @ 7% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 5.56% (-0.24)
0-2 @ 3.35% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.17)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.16)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.09)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 21.75%

Head to Head

Europa League
Apr 13, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Stadium
  • Federico Gatti 73' goal
Champions League
Oct 31, 2017 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bruno Cesar 20' goal
  • Bas Dost 67' yellowcard
  • Marcos Acuna 78' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Coates 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mario Mandzukic 26'
  • goal Gonzalo Higuain 79'
  • yellowcard Juan Cuadrado 89'
Champions League
Oct 18, 2017 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Miralem Pjanic 29' goal
  • Stefano Sturaro 68' yellowcard
  • Giorgio Chiellini 83' yellowcard
  • Mario Mandzukic 84' goal
  • goal Alex Sandro 12' (OG)
  • yellowcard Sebastian Coates 25'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fernandes 37'