Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Apr 9, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio Pina Manique

Casa Pia
3 - 4
Sporting Lisbon

Martins (7'), Soma (45+1'), Cardoso (62')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Trincao (1', 39', 85'), Goncalves (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Vizela 3-1 Casa Pia
Saturday, April 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-0 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, April 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 16.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.2%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
16.53% ( 0.46)	23.47% ( 0.49)	60% ( -0.94)

Both teams to score 44.3% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.56% (

-1.09)

54.44% (

1.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.19% (

-0.91)

75.8% (

0.92)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.92% (

-0.04)

46.07% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.22% (

-0.04)

81.78% (

0.04)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.14% (

-0.73)

17.85% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.38% (

-1.27)

48.62% (

1.28)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 16.53%

Sporting Lisbon 59.99%

Draw 23.46%

Casa Pia	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.38% Total : 16.53%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.59% Total : 23.46%	0-1 @ 14.17% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 12.2% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 7.01% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 3.02% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.3% Total : 59.99%