Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24

Mar 12, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 0
Boavista

Santos (17'), Agra (43' og.), Paulinho (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-2 Arsenal
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Boavista 0-0 Arouca
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.98%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 8.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.53%) and 1-0 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Boavista
75.98% ( 0.37)	15.41% ( -0.22)	8.6% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 45.9% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.97% (

0.57)

39.03% (

-0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.64% (

0.59)

61.35% (

-0.59)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.39% (

0.22)

8.6% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.29% (

0.54)

29.71% (

-0.54)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.22% (

0.06)

49.77% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.5% (

0.04)

84.5% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 75.97%

Boavista 8.6%

Draw 15.41%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Boavista
2-0 @ 12.88% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) 6-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.04% Total : 75.97%	1-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 15.41%	0-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.01% Total : 8.6%