Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 26, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio da Capital do Móvel

Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 3
Boavista

Butzke (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Njie (28'), Mangas (47'), Gorre (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pacos de Ferreira

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, February 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Benfica 3-1 Boavista
Monday, February 20 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Boavista
36.25% ( 0.03)	26.94% ( -0.01)	36.81% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 51.11% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.87% (

0.05)

54.13% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.45% (

0.04)

75.55% (

-0.04)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.32% (

0.04)

28.68% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.5% (

0.05)

64.5% (

-0.05)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.66% (

0.02)

28.34% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.92% (

0.02)

64.08% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 36.25%

Boavista 36.8%

Draw 26.94%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Boavista
1-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 36.25%	1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.94%	0-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 36.8%