Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 47.32%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 24.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Boavista |
| 47.32% | 27.99% | 24.68% |
| Both teams to score 43.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.28% | 61.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.47% | 81.53% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.76% | 26.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.66% | 61.33% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.61% | 41.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.1% | 77.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 14.52% 2-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 8.58% 3-0 @ 4.34% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.45% 4-1 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.92% Total : 47.32% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 9.58% 1-2 @ 5.66% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.24% 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.21% Total : 24.68% |