Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Mar 3, 2023 at 7pm UK

Estádio do Bessa Século XXI

Boavista
0 - 0
Arouca

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-3 Boavista
Sunday, February 26 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Arouca

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 2-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, February 25 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Arouca
45.12% ( -1.39)	25.99% ( 0.22)	28.89% ( 1.17)

Both teams to score 51.86% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.86% (

-0.27)

52.14% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.14% (

-0.23)

73.85% (

0.23)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.95% (

-0.76)

23.04% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.13% (

-1.12)

56.87% (

1.12)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.38% (

0.75)

32.61% (

-0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.84% (

0.83)

69.15% (

-0.84)

Score Analysis

Boavista 45.12%

Arouca 28.89%

Draw 25.98%

Boavista	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.04% Total : 45.12%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.98%	0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.59% Total : 28.89%