Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.