Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Mar 6, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
Pacos de Ferreira logo

Casa Pia
2 - 1
Pacos de Ferreira

de Brito Gonzaga (67' og.), Varela (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bernardo (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 2-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, February 25 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Pacos de Ferreira

All competitions
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-3 Boavista
Sunday, February 26 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 48.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 24.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawPacos de Ferreira
48.3% (0.48 0.48)27.64% (0.09 0.09)24.05% (-0.573 -0.57)
Both teams to score 43.57% (-0.737 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.99% (-0.679 -0.68)61.01% (0.677 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19% (-0.513 -0.51)81% (0.50999999999999 0.51)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)25.43% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75% (-0.104 -0.1)60.24% (0.1 0.1)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.43% (-0.927 -0.93)41.57% (0.925 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.94% (-0.824 -0.82)78.06% (0.82000000000001 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 48.3%
    Pacos de Ferreira 24.05%
    Draw 27.64%
Casa PiaDrawPacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 14.47% (0.33 0.33)
2-0 @ 9.91% (0.208 0.21)
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.52% (0.085 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 48.3%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 10.57% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 9.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 5.58% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 24.05%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Pacos de Ferreira

Casa Pia
65.1%
Draw
25.6%
Pacos de Ferreira
9.3%
43
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2022 8.15pm
Pacos de Ferreira
1-1
Casa Pia
Antunes (40')
Carlos (33')
Varela (47')
Sep 11, 2022 3.30pm
Pacos de Ferreira
2-3
Casa Pia
Butzke (17', 90+6')
Godwin (58'), Neto (60'), Clayton (74')
Fernandes (43')