Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 78.95%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 6.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.93%) and 1-0 (11.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.