Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pacos de Ferreira in this match.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Santa Clara |
40.44% ( 0.29) | 27.8% ( 0.06) | 31.76% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 47.73% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.96% ( -0.29) | 58.04% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.28% ( -0.23) | 78.72% ( 0.23) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.88% ( 0.02) | 28.12% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.2% ( 0.03) | 63.8% ( -0.03) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.4% ( -0.4) | 33.6% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.75% ( -0.44) | 70.25% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 40.43% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.8% | 0-1 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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