Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24

Mar 11, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio da Capital do Móvel

Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 0
Santa Clara

Antunes (54' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pacos de Ferreira

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 2-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Monday, March 6 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Santa Clara

All competitions

Last Game: Santa Clara 1-3 Guimaraes
Sunday, March 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pacos de Ferreira in this match.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Santa Clara
40.44% ( 0.29)	27.8% ( 0.06)	31.76% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 47.73% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.96% (

-0.29)

58.04% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.28% (

-0.23)

78.72% (

0.23)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.88% (

0.02)

28.12% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.2% (

0.03)

63.8% (

-0.03)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.4% (

-0.4)

33.6% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.75% (

-0.44)

70.25% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 40.43%

Santa Clara 31.75%

Draw 27.8%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Santa Clara
1-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 40.43%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.8%	0-1 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.75%