Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio do Futebol Clube de Vizela
Casa Pia

Vizela
3 - 1
Casa Pia

Zolotic (37' og.), Nunes (81' og.), Etim (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Martins (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vizela and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vizela

All competitions
Last Game: Portimonense 0-1 Vizela
Saturday, March 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last Game: Casa Pia 2-0 Maritimo
Sunday, March 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vizela would win this match.

Result
VizelaDrawCasa Pia
46.18% (0.164 0.16)26.36% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)27.46% (-0.159 -0.16)
Both teams to score 49.81% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.65% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)54.34% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.27% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)75.73% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5% (0.051000000000002 0.05)23.49% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.47% (0.074999999999996 0.07)57.52% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.11% (-0.15599999999999 -0.16)34.89% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.37% (-0.166 -0.17)71.63% (0.164 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Vizela 46.18%
    Casa Pia 27.46%
    Draw 26.35%
VizelaDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 11.87% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.6% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.37% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 46.18%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 8.2% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.63% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 27.46%

Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 6pm
Casa Pia
0-1
Vizela

Taira (17')
Guzzo (67')