/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Fvizlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fcaslog.png)
-
Nermin Zolotic
37'
-
Joao Nunes
81'
-
Etim
87'
-
Rafael Martins
25'
Vizela vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F01%2Fvizela.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vizela would win this match.
Result
Vizela
46.18%
▲
(+0.17)
Draw
26.36%
▼
(-0.01)
Casa Pia
27.46%
▼
(-0.16)
Both Teams to Score:
49.81%
▼
(-0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.65%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
54.34%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
24.27%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
75.73%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 4.5
10.9%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
89.1%
▲
(+0.03)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5
76.5%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
23.49%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
42.47%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
57.52%
▼
(-0.08)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5
65.11%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
34.89%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
28.37%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 1.5
71.63%
▲
(+0.17)
Score analysis
Vizela
46.18%
Draw
26.35%
Casa Pia
27.46%
Vizela
1-0
@
11.87%
▲
(+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 46.18%
2-1 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 46.18%
Draw
1-1
@
12.5%
0-0 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.35%
0-0 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.35%
Casa Pia
0-1
@
8.63%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 27.46%
1-2 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 27.46%