Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.