Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Casa Pia |
56.16% ( 0.48) | 24.51% ( -0.17) | 19.34% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 46.25% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.51% ( 0.26) | 54.48% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.15% ( 0.22) | 75.84% ( -0.21) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.69% ( 0.29) | 19.31% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.94% ( 0.47) | 51.06% ( -0.46) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.31% ( -0.19) | 42.68% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.98% ( -0.16) | 79.02% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 13.55% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 56.15% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 19.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |