Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 13, 2023 8.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
  • Ivan Jaime 36' goal

Famalicao vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions
Last game
Mar 3, 2023 9.15pm
Benfica 2 - 0 Famalicao
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Ivan Jaime

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 6, 2023 8.15pm
Casa Pia 2 - 1 Pacos de Ferreira
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Rafael Martins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 19.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.

Result

Famalicao 56.16% (+0.48)
Draw 24.51% (-0.18)
Casa Pia 19.34% (-0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.25% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.51% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 54.48% (-0.26)
Over 3.5 24.15% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 75.84% (-0.22)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5 80.69% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 19.31% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 48.94% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 51.06% (-0.47)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 57.31% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 42.68% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 20.98% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 79.02% (+0.17)

Score analysis

Famalicao 56.15%
Draw 24.5%
Casa Pia 19.34%
Famalicao
1-0 @ 13.55% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 11.14% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.49% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.11% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 5.2% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 2.51% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.22% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.14% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 56.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 8.24% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.5%
Casa Pia
0-1 @ 7.02% (-0.11)
1-2 @ 4.91% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 19.34%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 18, 2022 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Pina Manique
  • Leo Bolgado 60' goal