Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Chaves |
39.72% ( -0.13) | 26.56% ( 0.06) | 33.71% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 52.04% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.18% ( -0.24) | 52.81% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.56% ( -0.2) | 74.44% ( 0.2) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.93% ( -0.18) | 26.07% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.88% ( -0.24) | 61.11% ( 0.24) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.38% ( -0.08) | 29.61% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.35% ( -0.1) | 65.65% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 39.72% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 8 | 32 | 33 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 11 |
15 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Nacional | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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