Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Chaves |
39.72% ( -0.13) | 26.56% ( 0.06) | 33.71% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 52.04% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.18% ( -0.24) | 52.81% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.56% ( -0.2) | 74.44% ( 0.2) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.93% ( -0.18) | 26.07% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.88% ( -0.24) | 61.11% ( 0.24) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.38% ( -0.08) | 29.61% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.35% ( -0.1) | 65.65% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 39.72% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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