Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Chaves |
| 39.72% ( | 26.56% ( | 33.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.18% ( | 52.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.56% ( | 74.44% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.93% ( | 26.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.88% ( | 61.11% ( |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.38% ( | 29.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.35% ( | 65.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Chaves |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% ( 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 2-0 @ 6.98% ( 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 4-0 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 39.72% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 5.72% ( 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 1-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.72% |