Primeira Liga
Gameweek
25
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Felippe Cardoso
41'
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Felippe Cardoso
50'
Casa Pia vs Maritimo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.
Result
Casa Pia
43.76%
▼
(-0.72)
Draw
27.9%
▲
(+0.03)
Maritimo
28.34%
▲
(+0.70)
Both Teams to Score:
46%
▲
(+0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5
40.49%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 2.5
59.51%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 3.5
20.14%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 3.5
79.86%
▼
(-0.19)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5
72.98%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 0.5
27.01%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 1.5
37.63%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 1.5
62.37%
▲
(+0.34)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5
63.02%
▲
(+0.70)
Under 0.5
36.98%
▼
(-0.70)
Over 1.5
26.23%
▲
(+0.69)
Under 1.5
73.77%
▼
(-0.69)
Score analysis
Casa Pia
43.76%
Draw
27.89%
Maritimo
28.34%
Casa Pia
1-0
@
13.07%
▼
(-0.22)
2-0 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.21)
2-1 @ 8.51% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 43.76%
2-0 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.21)
2-1 @ 8.51% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 43.76%
Draw
1-1
@
13%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 9.99% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.89%
0-0 @ 9.99% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.89%
Maritimo
0-1
@
9.94%
▲
(+0.10)
1-2 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.14)
0-2 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 28.34%
1-2 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.14)
0-2 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 28.34%